Setting the Record Straight

October 25, 2008

Obama Has Not Won!

Why They Keep Campaigning

     There have been a lot of statements of late that the presidential race is over and that Barack Obama has won. Not so.

     That type of speculation is a result of frequent nationwide polls showing how a person would have voted on that date. The Obama lead appears to be rising, according to those polls. But those polls are weighing sentiment on a national basis and the election is not counted that way; it is counted on a state-by-state basis as the electoral college.

     There are 538 electoral votes, so a candidate in a two-person race, which this is as far as the electoral college is concerned, needs 270 to secure the presidency.



     Using this New York Times map, updated as of Oct. 24, a count of electoral college votes shows Obama with only 196 electoral votes among the states counted as favoring him and highly unlikely to vote otherwise, i.e., the blue states.

     States with another 90 votes are counted as leaning blue. If all of them voted blue, that would give Obama 286 votes, or 16 more votes than he needs to win.

     In addition to any of those nine states being capable of turning the other way by just about anything, from an international crisis or terrorist attack that would favor John McCain, or some credible scandal involving Obama—he still faces the same problem he has had since he entered the race. It is racism.

     The Times map is based on state-by-state polling, and as we and others have said repeatedly, polling does a poor job of uncovering racism, in part because racists usually don’t believe they are. The depth of racism in this country will only be known when it is too late, when the ballots are counted, or in the case of the plan by Republican supporters to challenge registrations in pro-Obama areas, not counted.

     If the race is close, we can expect an outpouring of electoral college bashing once again by the losing side. It will be misplaced. If anything, that voting system is more necessary than ever. This past year has served to underscore once again how uninformed the American people have become, and so intellectually lazy they can be swayed by just about any simpleton overture. That argues mightily for the protection the electoral college offers.




  1. ROFL, funny as I was thinking about the fact that really my vote will be wasted. I live in Wyoming, I am voting Obama. However, I have to do it… It isn’t going to change my republican state, but it will make me feel better :P

    Comment by Terra — October 25, 2008 @ 10:20 am | Reply

  2. Unless he dumps Palin, McCain has no chance. Not even a $150,000 makeover can make her competent:

    Comment by Jim — October 25, 2008 @ 10:35 am | Reply

  3. Sad to say but if Obama wins, America looses

    Comment by pobept — October 26, 2008 @ 3:23 am | Reply

  4. sad to say, but your opinion is reflective of your spelling, and both reflect your failure to read and be informed.

    Comment by straightrecord — October 26, 2008 @ 10:38 am | Reply

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